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ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) 모형×조건부 분위수 회귀×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도20151978
창시자Box & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)Koenker & Bassett
유형Univariate time-series modelConditional quantile regression
원전Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Koenker, R. & Bassett, G., Jr. (1978). Regression Quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50. DOI ↗
별칭Box-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeliconditional quantile regression, regression quantiles, Kantil Regresyon
관련55
요약ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).Quantile regression models conditional quantiles of an outcome - the median, the 25th or 75th percentile, and so on - rather than the conditional mean that OLS targets. Introduced by Koenker and Bassett in 1978, it reveals how predictors act across the whole distribution, including its tails.
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