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ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) 모형×PatchTST×
분야계량경제학딥러닝
계열Regression modelMachine learning
기원 연도20152023
창시자Box & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)Nie, Y. et al.
유형Univariate time-series modelTransformer for time series forecasting
원전Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Nie, Y., Nguyen, N. H., Sinthong, P. & Kalagnanam, J. (2023). A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers. ICLR. link ↗
별칭Box-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA ModeliPatchTST — Yama Tabanlı Zaman Serisi Transformer, patch-based time series transformer, channel-independent transformer
관련53
요약ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).PatchTST is a patch-based Transformer architecture for time series forecasting, introduced by Nie and colleagues in 2023, that cuts each series into overlapping patches treated as tokens and processes channels independently. It balances computational efficiency with strong accuracy on long-horizon forecasting.
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