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에이전트 기반 미시 시뮬레이션×확률적 미시모의시뮬레이션×
분야시뮬레이션시뮬레이션
계열Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
기원 연도1957 (microsimulation); 2000s (hybrid ABMS)1957
창시자Orcutt, G. H. (microsimulation roots); Bonabeau, E. and others (ABM integration)Guy H. Orcutt
유형Hybrid simulationStochastic individual-level simulation
원전Birkin, M., & Clarke, M. (2012). The enhancement of spatial microsimulation models using geodemographics. Annals of Regional Science, 49(2), 515–532. DOI ↗Orcutt, G. H. (1957). A new type of socio-economic system. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 39(2), 116–123. DOI ↗
별칭ABMS, Agent-Based Micro-Simulation, Microsimulation with Agent-Based Modeling, Hybrid ABM-MicrosimulationProbabilistic Microsimulation, Monte Carlo Microsimulation, Stochastic Micro-simulation, SMSM
관련56
요약Agent-based microsimulation (ABMS) merges traditional microsimulation's individual-level statistical tracking with agent-based modeling's behavioral rules and interaction mechanisms. It creates virtual populations of heterogeneous agents who evolve over time according to transition probabilities, adaptive behaviors, and social interactions, producing emergent system-level outcomes from micro-level dynamics.Stochastic Microsimulation tracks a large population of individual units — people, households, or firms — through time by applying random draws from empirically estimated probability distributions at each transition event. Unlike deterministic counterparts, every state change is decided by chance, preserving realistic heterogeneity and allowing rigorous uncertainty quantification across multiple simulation runs.
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