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적응형 현장 실험×다중 팔 실험×
분야실험설계실험설계
계열Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
기원 연도1990s–2000s (formalized in field economics and development research contexts)1990s–2000s (clinical formalization); multi-arm concept implicit in ANOVA-era factorial designs
창시자Developed at the intersection of adaptive trial methodology (Berry, Bauer) and field experimentation (Duflo, Kremer, List)Developed within clinical trials methodology; formalized by Parmar, Royston and colleagues (UK MRC CTU, early 2000s)
유형Adaptive experimental design conducted in naturalistic settingsExperimental design
원전Berry, D. A. (2004). Bayesian statistics and the efficiency and ethics of clinical trials. Statistical Science, 19(1), 175–187. DOI ↗Royston, P., Parmar, M. K. B., & Qian, W. (2003). Novel designs for multi-arm clinical trials with survival outcomes with an application in ovarian cancer. Statistics in Medicine, 22(14), 2239–2256. DOI ↗
별칭adaptive field trial, sequentially adaptive field experiment, responsive field experiment, adaptive randomized field studymulti-arm trial, multiple-arm experiment, multi-group experiment, many-arm design
관련65
요약An adaptive field experiment is a randomized study conducted in a real-world environment in which pre-specified decision rules allow the researcher to modify the trial as interim data accumulate — for example, by reallocating participants toward more effective arms, adjusting sample size, or stopping early for efficacy or futility — all while maintaining statistical integrity.A multi-arm experiment simultaneously compares three or more treatment or intervention conditions — each called an arm — against a shared control or against one another. By testing multiple alternatives in a single study, it yields more information per participant than running separate two-group experiments sequentially, while controlling the overall Type I error rate through pre-specified comparison strategies.
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