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ベクトル誤差修正モデル(VECM)×ARIMA(自己回帰和分移動平均)モデル×
分野計量経済学計量経済学
系統Regression modelRegression model
提唱年19872015
提唱者Engle & GrangerBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)
種類Multivariate time-series modelUnivariate time-series model
原典Engle, R. F. & Granger, C. W. J. (1987). Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251-276. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021
別名vector error correction model, error correction model, cointegration model, VECM (Vektör Hata Düzeltme Modeli)Box-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeli
関連45
概要The Vector Error Correction Model is a multivariate time-series model for cointegrated series that captures both their short-run dynamics and their long-run equilibrium relationship. It was introduced by Engle and Granger in 1987 as part of the cointegration and error-correction framework.ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).
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  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGate手法を比較: VECM · ARIMA. 2026-06-17に以下より取得 https://scholargate.app/ja/compare