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時間変動パラメータを用いた戸田・山本の因果性検定×ベクトル自己回帰(VAR)モデル×
分野計量経済学計量経済学
系統Regression modelRegression model
提唱年1995 (base); TVP variant emerged early 2000s–2010s2005
提唱者Toda & Yamamoto (1995); TVP extension by subsequent applied econometriciansLütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
種類Causality test (time-varying)Multivariate time-series model
原典Toda, H. Y., & Yamamoto, T. (1995). Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes. Journal of Econometrics, 66(1-2), 225-250. DOI ↗Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
別名TVP-TY causality, time-varying Toda-Yamamoto, TVP Granger causality (Toda-Yamamoto), rolling/recursive Toda-Yamamoto causalityvector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
関連34
概要The TVP Toda-Yamamoto causality test combines Toda and Yamamoto's (1995) augmented VAR approach — which handles possibly integrated or cointegrated series without pre-testing for unit roots — with time-varying parameters, allowing causal relationships between variables to shift across different periods rather than remaining fixed throughout the sample.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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ScholarGate手法を比較: Time-varying parameter Toda-Yamamoto causality · VAR Model. 2026-06-19に以下より取得 https://scholargate.app/ja/compare