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時変パラメータMAモデル×移動平均 (MA) モデル×
分野計量経済学計量経済学
系統Regression modelRegression model
提唱年1990s1970
提唱者Harvey, A. C.; Durbin, J. & Koopman, S. J.Box and Jenkins
種類Time-varying state-space modelLinear time series model
原典Harvey, A. C. (1990). Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter. Cambridge University Press. ISBN: 9780521321969Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., & Reinsel, G. C. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0130607744
別名TVP-MA model, state-space MA, Kalman filter MA, time-varying MAMA model, MA(q) process, moving-average process, Box-Jenkins MA
関連65
概要The time-varying parameter moving average (TVP-MA) model extends the standard MA model by allowing the moving-average coefficients to change over time. Cast as a state-space system, it is estimated via the Kalman filter and smoother, making it well suited for series where the shock-transmission dynamics evolve across the sample.The Moving Average model of order q — written MA(q) — expresses the current value of a time series as a linear combination of the current and past random shocks (innovations). Unlike the AR model which uses lagged values of the series itself, the MA model uses lagged error terms, making it well-suited for capturing short-lived disturbances that dissipate over q periods.
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  1. v1
  2. 2 出典
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGate手法を比較: Time-varying parameter MA model · Moving Average Model. 2026-06-17に以下より取得 https://scholargate.app/ja/compare