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| 教育研究における因果関係の感度分析× | 中断時系列分析(Interrupted Time Series, ITS)× | |
|---|---|---|
| 分野 | 因果推論 | 因果推論 |
| 系統 | Regression model | Regression model |
| 提唱年≠ | 1983–2002 | 2002 |
| 提唱者≠ | Paul R. Rosenbaum (formal framework); applied in education research by Briggs and others | Wagner, Soumerai, Zhang & Ross-Degnan (segmented regression); Bernal, Cummins & Gasparrini (tutorial) |
| 種類≠ | Causal robustness / bias assessment | Quasi-experimental segmented regression |
| 原典≠ | Rosenbaum, P. R. (2002). Observational Studies (2nd ed.). Springer. ISBN: 978-0387989679 | Bernal, J. L., Cummins, S., & Gasparrini, A. (2017). Interrupted time series regression for the evaluation of public health interventions: a tutorial. International Journal of Epidemiology, 46(1), 348-355. DOI ↗ |
| 別名≠ | Rosenbaum sensitivity analysis, hidden-bias sensitivity analysis, causal sensitivity analysis, SA for causal education studies | ITS analysis, segmented regression of time series, Kesintili Zaman Serisi (ITS) Analizi |
| 関連≠ | 6 | 5 |
| 概要≠ | Sensitivity analysis for causality in education research tests how robust a quasi-experimental finding is to unmeasured confounding. Rather than assuming all bias has been removed, it quantifies how large a hidden bias would need to be to overturn a causal conclusion — a critical safeguard when randomisation is impossible, which is common in educational settings. | Interrupted Time Series analysis is a quasi-experimental design that estimates the effect of a single, well-dated intervention by comparing the trajectory of an outcome before and after it occurs. Formalised as segmented regression by Wagner and colleagues (2002) and popularised as a public-health evaluation tutorial by Bernal, Cummins and Gasparrini (2017), it separates the intervention's impact into a change in level and a change in slope. |
| ScholarGateデータセット ↗ |
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