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ロバストGARCHモデル×GARCHモデル(ボラティリティ予測)×
分野計量経済学計量経済学
系統Regression modelRegression model
提唱年1986–20131986
提唱者Boudt, Danielsson & Laurent (robust extensions); Bollerslev (standard GARCH, 1986)Tim Bollerslev
種類Volatility modelConditional volatility model
原典Boudt, K., Danielsson, J., & Laurent, S. (2013). Robust forecasting of dynamic conditional correlation GARCH models. International Journal of Forecasting, 29(2), 244–257. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗
別名Robust GARCH, outlier-robust GARCH, heavy-tail GARCH, contamination-robust volatility modelGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)
関連55
概要The Robust GARCH model extends the classical GARCH framework to handle outliers and heavy-tailed innovations that commonly appear in financial return series. By down-weighting extreme observations through a robust innovation term, it produces more reliable volatility forecasts when data contain jumps, crises, or other anomalies that would otherwise distort standard GARCH estimates.The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.
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ScholarGate手法を比較: Robust GARCH model · GARCH Model. 2026-06-17に以下より取得 https://scholargate.app/ja/compare