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ロバスト イベントツリー解析×ロバスト故障モード影響解析×
分野実験計画法実験計画法
系統Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
提唱年1960s (ETA); robust extensions ~1990s–2000s1980s–1990s
提唱者H.E. Lambert / Nuclear industry (ETA); robust extensions developed through aerospace and nuclear risk researchExtension of traditional FMEA (MIL-P-1629, 1949) integrated with Taguchi robust design philosophy (Genichi Taguchi, 1980s)
種類Probabilistic risk assessment with uncertainty propagationRisk analysis with variability quantification
原典Bedford, T., & Cooke, R. M. (2001). Probabilistic Risk Analysis: Foundations and Methods. Cambridge University Press. ISBN: 9780521773201Stamatis, D. H. (2003). Failure Mode and Effect Analysis: FMEA from Theory to Execution (2nd ed.). ASQ Quality Press. ISBN: 978-0873895989
別名Robust ETA, uncertainty-aware event tree analysis, ETA with uncertainty quantification, robust probabilistic event treeRobust FMEA, Noise-Aware FMEA, Variability-Integrated FMEA, Robustness-Based FMEA
関連64
概要Robust Event Tree Analysis (Robust ETA) extends classical event tree analysis by explicitly accounting for uncertainty in the probability estimates assigned to each branch. Rather than treating branch probabilities as precise point values, the robust approach represents them as intervals, probability distributions, or imprecise probabilities, then propagates that uncertainty through the tree to produce outcome frequency ranges instead of single numbers. This gives decision-makers a clearer picture of the confidence in risk estimates under realistic conditions of incomplete or conflicting information.Robust Failure Mode and Effects Analysis extends the classical FMEA framework by explicitly incorporating noise factors, parameter variability, and environmental variation into the risk assessment process. Rather than treating failure likelihood as a single deterministic estimate, it uses robust design principles — most notably from Taguchi's quality engineering — to evaluate how process variability and uncontrollable noise factors influence the probability and severity of each failure mode, yielding risk priority numbers that reflect real-world variability.
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ScholarGate手法を比較: Robust event tree analysis · Robust Failure Mode and Effects Analysis. 2026-06-18に以下より取得 https://scholargate.app/ja/compare