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| 政策シナリオ感度分析× | 政策シナリオ分析× | |
|---|---|---|
| 分野 | シミュレーション | シミュレーション |
| 系統 | Process / pipeline | Process / pipeline |
| 提唱年≠ | 1990s–2000s | 1967–1990s |
| 提唱者≠ | Saltelli, A. et al.; Lempert, R. J. et al. | Kahn, H. & Wiener, A. J. (seminal); adapted for policy by RAND Corporation and OECD |
| 種類≠ | Analytical framework combining scenario planning with sensitivity analysis | Qualitative-quantitative hybrid scenario method |
| 原典≠ | Saltelli, A., Ratto, M., Andres, T., Campolongo, F., Cariboni, J., Gatelli, D., Saisana, M., & Tarantola, S. (2008). Global Sensitivity Analysis: The Primer. John Wiley & Sons, Chichester. ISBN: 9780470059975 | Swart, R., Raskin, P., Robinson, J. (2004). The problem of the future: sustainability science and scenario analysis. Global Environmental Change, 14(2), 137–146. DOI ↗ |
| 別名 | PSSA, Policy Sensitivity Analysis, Scenario-Based Sensitivity Analysis, Policy Robustness Analysis | PSA, Policy Scenarios, Policy Impact Scenario Analysis, Counterfactual Policy Analysis |
| 関連 | 5 | 5 |
| 概要≠ | Policy Scenario Sensitivity Analysis (PSSA) combines structured scenario planning with formal sensitivity analysis to determine which model inputs and policy parameters most strongly drive outcomes across a set of distinct policy alternatives or future states. It is widely used in public health, climate, energy, and economic policy modeling to identify robust interventions that perform well even when key assumptions vary. | Policy Scenario Analysis is a structured method for evaluating how different policy interventions perform across a range of plausible future states. By pairing specific policy levers with alternative scenarios, analysts can assess robustness, trade-offs, and unintended consequences of policy choices before implementation — making it a cornerstone of evidence-based policy design in fields from climate to public health. |
| ScholarGateデータセット ↗ |
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