手法を比較

	ハイムストラ-ジョーンズ非線形グレンジャー因果性検定	収束的相互写像（CCM）
分野	計量経済学	因果推論
系統	Hypothesis test	Machine learning
提唱年	1994	2012
提唱者	Craig Hiemstra & Jonathan Jones	George Sugihara et al.
種類	Nonparametric hypothesis test	Nonlinear time-series causality test
原典	Hiemstra, C., & Jones, J. D. (1994). Testing for linear and nonlinear Granger causality in the stock price-volume relation. The Journal of Finance, 49(5), 1639–1664.	Sugihara, G., et al. (2012). Detecting causality in complex ecosystems. Science, 338(6106), 496–500.
別名	HJ Nonlinear Causality Test, Hiemstra-Jones Test, Nonlinear Granger Causality (Hiemstra-Jones), HJ Nedensellik Testi	CCM, Cross-Convergent Mapping, Empirical Dynamic Modelling Causality, Yakınsak Çapraz Haritalama
関連	3	3
概要	The Hiemstra-Jones test, introduced in 1994, is a nonparametric procedure for detecting nonlinear causal relationships between two time series after removing their linear interdependencies. Developed in the context of stock price and trading volume dynamics, it extends the standard linear Granger causality framework by using correlation integral statistics to detect predictability arising from nonlinear mechanisms that linear VAR models cannot capture.	Convergent Cross Mapping (CCM) is a nonlinear, state-space method for detecting causality between time-series variables embedded in a shared dynamical system. Introduced by George Sugihara and colleagues in their landmark 2012 Science paper, CCM exploits Takens' embedding theorem: if variable X causally influences Y, the historical record of Y contains enough information to recover the states of X. Causality is confirmed when cross-map skill improves—converges—as the time-series library grows longer.