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Granger因果性検定×最小二乗法 (OLS) 回帰×ベクトル自己回帰(VAR)モデル×
分野計量経済学計量経済学計量経済学
系統Regression modelRegression modelRegression model
提唱年196920192005
提唱者Clive W. J. GrangerWooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squaresLütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
種類Time-series predictive causality testLinear regressionMultivariate time-series model
原典Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424-438. DOI ↗Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
別名Granger causality test, Granger non-causality test, predictive causality test, Granger Nedensellik Testiordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonuvector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
関連554
概要The Granger causality test, introduced by Clive W. J. Granger in 1969, assesses whether the past values of one time series help predict another beyond what the latter's own past already explains. It defines causality in a strictly predictive sense rather than as a structural or physical cause.Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE).Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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ScholarGate手法を比較: Granger Causality · OLS Regression · VAR Model. 2026-06-18に以下より取得 https://scholargate.app/ja/compare