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| Fourier EGARCH: スムーズな構造変化を伴うボラティリティモデリング× | 指数 GARCH (EGARCH)× | 一般化自己回帰条件付き分散 (GARCH)× | GJR-GARCH(非対称GARCH)× | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 分野 | 計量経済学 | 計量経済学 | 計量経済学 | 計量経済学 |
| 系統 | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| 提唱年≠ | 2010s | 1991 | 1986 | 1993 |
| 提唱者≠ | Extension of Nelson (1991) EGARCH using Fourier approximation frameworks | Nelson | Tim Bollerslev | Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993); Zakoian (1994) |
| 種類≠ | Volatility model with smooth structural breaks | Conditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant) | Conditional volatility model | Asymmetric conditional volatility model |
| 原典≠ | Enders, W., & Lee, J. (2012). A unit root test using a Fourier series to approximate smooth breaks. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 74(4), 574-599. DOI ↗ | Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370. DOI ↗ | Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307-327. DOI ↗ | Glosten, L. R., Jagannathan, R. & Runkle, D. E. (1993). On the Relation Between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks. The Journal of Finance, 48(5), 1779-1801. DOI ↗ |
| 別名 | Fourier-EGARCH, F-EGARCH, Fourier exponential GARCH, smooth structural break EGARCH | exponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCH | GARCH(1,1), generalized ARCH, conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli | asymmetric GARCH, leverage GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH — Asimetrik GARCH (Glosten-Jagannathan-Runkle) |
| 関連≠ | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 概要≠ | Fourier EGARCH extends Nelson's (1991) Exponential GARCH model by embedding Fourier trigonometric terms in the conditional variance equation to capture smooth, gradual shifts in the unconditional variance level over time. This allows the model to handle structural breaks in volatility without requiring prior knowledge of their timing or number. | EGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance. | GARCH is an econometric model for the time-varying volatility of financial time series, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986 as a generalisation of Engle's ARCH model. It treats the conditional variance as a function of past squared shocks and past variances, capturing the volatility clustering seen in returns. | GJR-GARCH is a variant of the GARCH conditional-volatility model that captures the asymmetric effect of negative shocks on volatility using an indicator variable. It was introduced by Glosten, Jagannathan and Runkle (1993), with a closely related threshold formulation by Zakoian (1994). |
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