手法を比較

	Confidence Interval	帰無仮説検定
分野	研究統計	研究統計
系統	Process / pipeline	Process / pipeline
提唱年	1937	1925
提唱者	Jerzy Neyman	Ronald Fisher; Neyman & Pearson
種類	Concept	Concept
原典	Neyman, J. (1937). Outline of a Theory of Statistical Estimation Based on the Classical Theory of Probability. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, 236, 333–380.	Fisher, R. A. (1925). Statistical Methods for Research Workers. Oliver and Boyd.
別名	CI, 95% CI, credible interval, interval estimate	NHST, hypothesis formulation, null hypothesis, alternative hypothesis
関連	4	4
概要	A confidence interval (CI) is a range of values, calculated from sample data, that likely contains the true population parameter. Introduced by Jerzy Neyman in 1937, it provides an interval estimate rather than a single point estimate, incorporating both the observed value and the uncertainty around it. The standard 95% confidence interval is a robust, intuitive alternative to p-values for communicating research results.	Null Hypothesis Significance Testing (NHST) is the dominant statistical framework in empirical research. The null hypothesis (H₀) represents the default assumption—typically 'no effect' or 'no difference'—while the alternative hypothesis (H₁) represents the claim being tested. The test calculates the probability of observing the data given H₀ is true (p-value); if p is very small, H₀ is rejected in favor of H₁. Formulated by Ronald Fisher and extended by Neyman and Pearson in the early 20th century, NHST is foundational to confirmatory research but has been widely critiqued for misuse and misinterpretation.