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| 因果推論のためのベイズ的感度分析× | 二重に頑健な推定量(AIPW)× | |
|---|---|---|
| 分野 | 因果推論 | 因果推論 |
| 系統 | Regression model | Regression model |
| 提唱年≠ | 2000s–2010s | 2005 |
| 提唱者≠ | McCandless, Gustafson & Austin (2007); Gustafson (2015) | Robins & Rotnitzky; Bang & Robins |
| 種類≠ | Bayesian causal sensitivity analysis | Semiparametric causal estimator |
| 原典≠ | McCandless, L. C., Gustafson, P., & Austin, P. C. (2007). Bayesian propensity score analysis for observational data. Statistics in Medicine, 26(8), 1704-1718. DOI ↗ | Robins, J. M. & Rotnitzky, A. (1995). Semiparametric Efficiency in Multivariate Regression Models with Missing Data. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 90(429), 122-129. DOI ↗ |
| 別名 | Bayesian sensitivity analysis, Bayesian bias analysis, probabilistic sensitivity analysis for confounding, Bayesian unmeasured confounding analysis | AIPW, augmented inverse probability weighting, doubly robust estimator, Çift Gürbüz Kestirici (Augmented IPW / AIPW) |
| 関連≠ | 6 | 5 |
| 概要≠ | Bayesian sensitivity analysis for causality quantifies how much an unmeasured confounder would need to influence both treatment assignment and outcome to overturn a causal conclusion. Rather than testing a single worst-case scenario, it places prior distributions over the strength of hidden confounding, propagates uncertainty through a full Bayesian model, and reports a posterior distribution for the causal effect that honestly reflects what is and is not identified from observed data. | Doubly Robust Estimation, also called Augmented Inverse Probability Weighting (AIPW), is a semiparametric method for estimating causal treatment effects that combines an outcome regression model with a propensity (treatment) model. Developed in the work of Robins & Rotnitzky (1995) and Bang & Robins (2005), it stays consistent as long as at least one of the two models is correctly specified. |
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