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因果推論のためのベイズ的感度分析×ベイジアン差分の差 (Bayesian Difference-in-Differences)×
分野因果推論因果推論
系統Regression modelRegression model
提唱年2000s–2010s2015-2023
提唱者McCandless, Gustafson & Austin (2007); Gustafson (2015)Li & Marchand (formal Bayesian DiD framework); Brodersen et al. (Bayesian causal inference in time series)
種類Bayesian causal sensitivity analysisBayesian causal inference / panel regression
原典McCandless, L. C., Gustafson, P., & Austin, P. C. (2007). Bayesian propensity score analysis for observational data. Statistics in Medicine, 26(8), 1704-1718. DOI ↗Li, F., & Marchand, J. (2023). Bayesian inference for difference-in-differences. Econometrics Journal, 26(3), 509-529. link ↗
別名Bayesian sensitivity analysis, Bayesian bias analysis, probabilistic sensitivity analysis for confounding, Bayesian unmeasured confounding analysisBayesian DiD, Bayes DiD, Bayesian diff-in-diff, Bayesian panel causal estimator
関連65
概要Bayesian sensitivity analysis for causality quantifies how much an unmeasured confounder would need to influence both treatment assignment and outcome to overturn a causal conclusion. Rather than testing a single worst-case scenario, it places prior distributions over the strength of hidden confounding, propagates uncertainty through a full Bayesian model, and reports a posterior distribution for the causal effect that honestly reflects what is and is not identified from observed data.Bayesian Difference-in-Differences applies Bayesian statistical inference to the classic DiD design, replacing frequentist point estimates with full posterior distributions over the treatment effect. This yields not only an estimate of the causal effect but also a coherent probability statement about its magnitude and uncertainty, making it especially useful when sample sizes are modest or informative prior knowledge is available.
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ScholarGate手法を比較: Bayesian Sensitivity Analysis for Causality · Bayesian Difference-in-Differences. 2026-06-15に以下より取得 https://scholargate.app/ja/compare