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ベイズ型第I相臨床試験×ベイズ的無作為化臨床試験×
分野疫学疫学
系統Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
提唱年19901980s–2000s (formal methodology consolidated ~2004–2006)
提唱者O'Quigley, Pepe & Fisher (Continual Reassessment Method)Donald A. Berry and David J. Spiegelhalter (applied Bayesian inference formally to RCT design)
種類Adaptive Bayesian dose-finding designRandomized experimental study with Bayesian inference
原典O'Quigley, J., Pepe, M., & Fisher, L. (1990). Continual reassessment method: a practical design for phase 1 clinical trials in cancer. Biometrics, 46(1), 33–48. DOI ↗Spiegelhalter, D. J., Abrams, K. R., & Myles, J. P. (2004). Bayesian Approaches to Clinical Trials and Health-Care Evaluation. Wiley. ISBN: 978-0471499756
別名Bayesian dose-finding trial, CRM trial, continual reassessment method trial, Bayesian dose-escalation studyBayesian RCT, Bayesian adaptive trial, Bayesian clinical trial design, BRCT
関連55
概要A Bayesian Phase I clinical trial uses prior probability models and sequential Bayes updating to find the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) of a new agent. Unlike the traditional 3+3 rule-based escalation, the Bayesian approach revises a dose-toxicity curve continuously as each patient's outcome is observed, allowing faster convergence to the true MTD while minimising exposure of patients to unsafe or subtherapeutic doses.A Bayesian randomized clinical trial (Bayesian RCT) combines the rigour of random treatment allocation with Bayesian statistical inference, allowing researchers to incorporate prior evidence and update beliefs continuously as trial data accumulate. Unlike the classical frequentist RCT, it yields direct probability statements about treatment effects and supports pre-specified adaptive stopping rules based on posterior probabilities.
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ScholarGate手法を比較: Bayesian Phase I clinical trial · Bayesian Randomized Clinical Trial. 2026-06-18に以下より取得 https://scholargate.app/ja/compare