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Survival analysisSurvival/duration models for conflict

Peace Duration Analysis

Peace duration analysis applies survival (time-to-event) methods to study how long peace lasts after a conflict ends and what makes it endure or collapse. The unit is the post-conflict peace spell, observed from a settlement or cessation until conflict recurs or the observation is censored. Modeling the hazard that peace fails as a function of how the conflict ended and the structural conditions — as in Hartzell and Hoddie's (2003) study of power-sharing after civil war — reveals which arrangements, such as institutionalized power sharing or peacekeeping, lengthen the survival of peace.

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  1. Hartzell, C., & Hoddie, M. (2003). Institutionalizing peace: Power sharing and post-civil war conflict management. American Journal of Political Science, 47(2), 318–332. DOI: 10.1111/1540-5907.00022

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ScholarGate. (2026, June 22). Survival Analysis of the Duration of Peace after Conflict. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/it/international-relations/peace-duration-analysis

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ScholarGatePeace Duration Analysis (Survival Analysis of the Duration of Peace after Conflict). Consultato il 2026-06-24 da https://scholargate.app/it/international-relations/peace-duration-analysis · Insieme di dati: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026