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Model Koreksi Galat Vektor (VECM)×Autoregresi Vektor (VAR)×
BidangEkonometrikaEkonometrika
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal19871980
PencetusRobert F. Engle and Clive W. J. GrangerChristopher A. Sims
TipeMultivariate time-series modelMultivariate time-series model
Sumber perintisEngle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. J. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251–276. DOI ↗Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. DOI ↗
AliasVECM, error correction VAR, cointegrated VAR, vector equilibrium correction modelVAR, VAR model, vector autoregressive model, multivariate autoregression
Terkait55
RingkasanThe Vector Error Correction Model extends the Vector Autoregression (VAR) framework to a system of variables that share one or more long-run equilibrium relationships. It jointly models short-run dynamics and the speed at which each variable corrects back toward equilibrium after a shock, making it the standard tool for analysing cointegrated multivariate time series.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model in which each variable is regressed on its own lags and the lags of all other variables in the system. Originally proposed by Sims (1980) as a data-driven alternative to large structural macroeconomic models, VAR has become the standard workhorse for dynamic analysis in empirical economics and finance.
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ScholarGateBandingkan metode: Vector Error Correction Model · Vector Autoregression. Diakses 2026-06-15 dari https://scholargate.app/id/compare