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Model Autoregresif Robust×Model ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)×
BidangEkonometrikaEkonometrika
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal19861970
PencetusMartin & Yohai (influential early work); broader robust time series literatureGeorge Box and Gwilym Jenkins
TipeRobust time series modelTime series forecasting model
Sumber perintisMartin, R. D., & Yohai, V. J. (1986). Influence functionals for time series. Annals of Statistics, 14(3), 781–818. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗
Aliasrobust autoregression, outlier-robust AR, M-estimator AR, heavy-tail ARARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q)
Terkait66
RingkasanThe robust AR model fits an autoregressive time series specification using estimation methods — typically M-estimators or bounded-influence estimators — that resist distortion from outliers and heavy-tailed error distributions. Unlike OLS-based AR estimation, robust variants down-weight extreme observations so that a small number of contaminated data points cannot dominate the fitted dynamics.The ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics.
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ScholarGateBandingkan metode: Robust AR model · ARIMA model. Diakses 2026-06-17 dari https://scholargate.app/id/compare