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Uji Kausalitas Granger×Uji Batas ARDL (Uji Batas Pesaran)×Regresi Kuadrat Terkecil Biasa (Ordinary Least Squares - OLS)×
BidangEkonometrikaEkonometrikaEkonometrika
KeluargaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal196920012019
PencetusClive W. J. GrangerPesaran, Shin & SmithWooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squares
TipeTime-series predictive causality testCointegration test / Autoregressive distributed lag modelLinear regression
Sumber perintisGranger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424-438. DOI ↗Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. DOI ↗Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860
AliasGranger causality test, Granger non-causality test, predictive causality test, Granger Nedensellik TestiPesaran bounds test, bounds testing approach, ARDL cointegration test, ARDL Sınır Testi (Pesaran Bounds Test)ordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonu
Terkait545
RingkasanThe Granger causality test, introduced by Clive W. J. Granger in 1969, assesses whether the past values of one time series help predict another beyond what the latter's own past already explains. It defines causality in a strictly predictive sense rather than as a structural or physical cause.The ARDL bounds test is an autoregressive distributed lag method that tests for a cointegrating (long-run level) relationship between time series, introduced by Pesaran, Shin and Smith in 2001. Unlike the Johansen procedure, it remains valid whether the variables are I(0), I(1) or a mix of the two, and it is more reliable than Johansen in small samples of roughly 30 to 80 observations.Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE).
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ScholarGateBandingkan metode: Granger Causality · ARDL Bounds Test · OLS Regression. Diakses 2026-06-18 dari https://scholargate.app/id/compare