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Model Koreksi Kesalahan Vektor Bayesian (Bayesian VECM)×Model Koreksi Galat Vektor (VECM)×
BidangEkonometrikaEkonometrika
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal2002–20051987
PencetusKleibergen & Paap; VillaniRobert F. Engle and Clive W. J. Granger
TipeBayesian multivariate time series modelMultivariate time-series model
Sumber perintisKleibergen, F., & Paap, R. (2002). Priors, posteriors and Bayes factors for a Bayesian analysis of cointegration. Journal of Econometrics, 111(2), 223–249. DOI ↗Engle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. J. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251–276. DOI ↗
AliasBayesian VECM, B-VECM, Bayesian cointegrated VAR, Bayesian vector error correctionVECM, error correction VAR, cointegrated VAR, vector equilibrium correction model
Terkait55
RingkasanThe Bayesian VECM combines the classical Vector Error Correction Model — which captures both short-run dynamics and long-run cointegrating relationships among non-stationary multivariate time series — with Bayesian prior distributions over the cointegrating rank and coefficient matrices. This allows principled uncertainty quantification, incorporation of economic theory as priors, and coherent inference even in small samples.The Vector Error Correction Model extends the Vector Autoregression (VAR) framework to a system of variables that share one or more long-run equilibrium relationships. It jointly models short-run dynamics and the speed at which each variable corrects back toward equilibrium after a shock, making it the standard tool for analysing cointegrated multivariate time series.
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ScholarGateBandingkan metode: Bayesian VECM · Vector Error Correction Model. Diakses 2026-06-15 dari https://scholargate.app/id/compare