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| Toda-Yamamoto kauzalitási teszt× | Vektorautoregresszió (VAR)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Tudományterület | Ökonometria | Ökonometria |
| Módszercsalád | Regression model | Regression model |
| Keletkezés éve≠ | 1995 | 1980 |
| Megalkotó≠ | Toda, H. Y. and Yamamoto, T. | Christopher A. Sims |
| Típus≠ | Causality test | Multivariate time-series model |
| Alapmű≠ | Toda, H. Y., & Yamamoto, T. (1995). Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes. Journal of Econometrics, 66(1-2), 225-250. DOI ↗ | Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. DOI ↗ |
| Alternatív nevek | Toda-Yamamoto test, TY causality test, modified Wald test for Granger causality, TY-MWALD | VAR, VAR model, vector autoregressive model, multivariate autoregression |
| Kapcsolódó | 5 | 5 |
| Összefoglaló≠ | The Toda-Yamamoto (TY) causality test is a modified Wald procedure for testing Granger causality in vector autoregressions (VARs) estimated in levels, even when variables are nonstationary or cointegrated. By intentionally over-fitting the VAR with extra lags equal to the maximum integration order, it restores the standard chi-squared asymptotic distribution of the Wald statistic without requiring prior unit-root or cointegration pretesting. | Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model in which each variable is regressed on its own lags and the lags of all other variables in the system. Originally proposed by Sims (1980) as a data-driven alternative to large structural macroeconomic models, VAR has become the standard workhorse for dynamic analysis in empirical economics and finance. |
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