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| Modeliranje scenarija politike mikrosimulacijom× | Mikrosimulacija× | |
|---|---|---|
| Područje | Simulacija | Simulacija |
| Obitelj | Process / pipeline | Process / pipeline |
| Godina nastanka | 1957 | 1957 |
| Tvorac≠ | Guy H. Orcutt | Guy Orcutt (concept, 1957); modern tax-transfer frameworks developed through EUROMOD and related projects |
| Vrsta≠ | Simulation — individual-level policy scenario analysis | Policy simulation / computational social science |
| Temeljni izvor≠ | Orcutt, G. H. (1957). A new type of socio-economic system. Review of Economics and Statistics, 39(2), 116–123. DOI ↗ | O'Donoghue, C. (Ed.) (2014). Handbook of Microsimulation Modelling. Emerald. DOI ↗ |
| Drugi nazivi≠ | PSM, Policy Microsimulation, Scenario-Based Microsimulation, Policy Impact Microsimulation | Mikrosimülasyon, micro-simulation, policy microsimulation |
| Srodne | 5 | 5 |
| Sažetak≠ | Policy Scenario Microsimulation applies microsimulation methods to evaluate and compare the distributional and aggregate effects of alternative policy scenarios on a synthetic population. By simulating individual-level behaviour under each policy regime, researchers can measure winners and losers, fiscal costs, and equity outcomes before real implementation. | Microsimulation is a computational method that simulates policy effects by operating directly on a population of individual micro-units — households, firms, patients — and applying rules to each unit according to its own demographic, economic, and behavioural characteristics. Developed conceptually by Guy Orcutt in 1957, it has become the standard tool for evaluating tax reform, pension systems, and health policy before implementation. |
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