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| Programiranje ciljeva pomoću scenarija politike× | Analiza politike scenarija× | |
|---|---|---|
| Područje | Simulacija | Simulacija |
| Obitelj | Process / pipeline | Process / pipeline |
| Godina nastanka≠ | 1961 (goal programming); policy scenario application 1980s–present | 1967–1990s |
| Tvorac≠ | Charnes, A., Cooper, W. W. (goal programming); policy scenario integration developed in OR/policy literature | Kahn, H. & Wiener, A. J. (seminal); adapted for policy by RAND Corporation and OECD |
| Vrsta≠ | Optimization under multiple conflicting goals across policy scenarios | Qualitative-quantitative hybrid scenario method |
| Temeljni izvor≠ | Charnes, A., Cooper, W. W. (1961). Management Models and Industrial Applications of Linear Programming. Wiley, New York. ISBN: 9780471153405 | Swart, R., Raskin, P., Robinson, J. (2004). The problem of the future: sustainability science and scenario analysis. Global Environmental Change, 14(2), 137–146. DOI ↗ |
| Drugi nazivi | PSGP, Policy GP, Scenario-based Goal Programming, Multi-scenario Goal Programming | PSA, Policy Scenarios, Policy Impact Scenario Analysis, Counterfactual Policy Analysis |
| Srodne | 5 | 5 |
| Sažetak≠ | Policy Scenario Goal Programming (PSGP) integrates goal programming optimization with policy scenario analysis to evaluate how well competing policy objectives can be achieved under distinct future conditions. Decision-makers define multiple goals and several plausible policy scenarios, then solve a goal programming model for each scenario to identify which policy strategies best satisfy priority targets across the full scenario space. | Policy Scenario Analysis is a structured method for evaluating how different policy interventions perform across a range of plausible future states. By pairing specific policy levers with alternative scenarios, analysts can assess robustness, trade-offs, and unintended consequences of policy choices before implementation — making it a cornerstone of evidence-based policy design in fields from climate to public health. |
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