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Strukturalna analiza vremenskih nizova s proširenjem strojnog učenja×Metoda razlika u razlikama (engl. Difference-in-Differences, DiD)×
PodručjeUzročno zaključivanjeEkonometrija
ObiteljRegression modelRegression model
Godina nastanka2014-20151994
TvoracBrodersen et al. (2015); Varian (2014) — foundational ML-for-causal-inference literatureCard & Krueger (canonical 1994 application); Angrist & Pischke (textbook treatment)
VrstaQuasi-experimental causal inference with ML counterfactualCausal inference / panel regression
Temeljni izvorBrodersen, K. H., Gallusser, F., Koehler, J., Remy, N., & Scott, S. L. (2015). Inferring causal impact using Bayesian structural time-series models. Annals of Applied Statistics, 9(1), 247-274. DOI ↗Angrist, J. D., & Pischke, J.-S. (2009). Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion. Princeton University Press. ISBN: 978-0691120355
Drugi naziviML-ITS, ML-augmented ITS, machine learning ITS, causal ML interrupted time seriesdiff-in-diff, DiD, Farkların Farkı (Diff-in-Diff)
Srodne65
SažetakMachine Learning-Augmented Interrupted Time Series (ML-ITS) estimates the causal effect of a discrete intervention by training a machine learning model on pre-intervention time series data, projecting a counterfactual trajectory into the post-intervention period, and measuring the gap between observed and predicted outcomes. It extends classical ITS by replacing parametric trend assumptions with flexible ML estimators such as gradient boosting, random forests, or Bayesian structural time-series models.Difference-in-Differences is a causal-inference method that estimates the effect of an intervention by comparing how a treatment group and a control group change over time. Made famous by Card and Krueger's 1994 minimum-wage study and developed in Angrist and Pischke's Mostly Harmless Econometrics, it isolates the treatment effect as the difference between the two groups' before-after changes.
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ScholarGateUsporedite metode: Machine Learning-Augmented Interrupted Time Series · Difference-in-Differences. Preuzeto 2026-06-15 s https://scholargate.app/hr/compare