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Projekcija stanovništva metodom kohorti i komponenti×Model prostorne interakcije (gravitacijski)×
PodručjeDemografijaProstorna analiza
ObiteljProcess / pipelineRegression model
Godina nastanka20011971
TvoracPreston, Heuveline & GuillotAlan Wilson (entropy-maximizing family)
VrstaDemographic projection pipelineModel of flows between spatial origins and destinations
Temeljni izvorPreston, S. H., Heuveline, P., & Guillot, M. (2001). Demography: Measuring and Modeling Population Processes. Blackwell. ISBN: 978-1-557-86451-2Wilson, A. G. (1971). A family of spatial interaction models, and associated developments. Environment and Planning A, 3(1), 1–32. DOI ↗
Drugi naziviCohort-Component Method, Component Method of Population Projection, Age-Sex-Specific Population Projection, Kohort-Bileşen Projeksiyonugravity model, spatial interaction model, competing destinations model, mekânsal etkileşim modeli
Srodne34
SažetakCohort-Component Projection is the standard demographic method for forecasting future population size and age-sex structure by explicitly tracking births, deaths, and migration for each age-sex cohort across discrete time steps. Systematically formalized in the textbook literature by Preston, Heuveline, and Guillot (2001), the method builds on foundational actuarial and demographic work dating to the early twentieth century and remains the workhorse technique used by national statistical offices and international organizations worldwide.Spatial interaction models predict the volume of flows — migrants, commuters, shoppers, trade, trips — between origins and destinations as a function of the size of each place and the distance or cost separating them. By analogy to Newton's gravity, interaction rises with the 'mass' of origin and destination and falls with separation, and Wilson's 1971 entropy-maximizing family put these models on a rigorous footing for transport, migration, and retail analysis.
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ScholarGateUsporedite metode: Cohort-Component Projection · Spatial Interaction Model. Preuzeto 2026-06-18 s https://scholargate.app/hr/compare