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समय-परिवर्ती पैरामीटर VAR मॉडल (TVP-VAR)×स्टेट स्पेस मॉडल (कलमन फिल्टर)×
क्षेत्रअर्थमितिअर्थमिति
परिवारRegression modelRegression model
उद्भव वर्ष20051990
प्रवर्तकPrimiceri (2005); Cogley & Sargent (2001, 2005)Harvey; Durbin & Koopman (state space treatment); Kalman filter
प्रकारMultivariate time-series model with drifting coefficientsState space time series model
मौलिक स्रोतPrimiceri, G. E. (2005). Time varying structural vector autoregressions and monetary policy. Review of Economic Studies, 72(3), 821-852. DOI ↗Harvey, A. C. (1990). Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter. Cambridge University Press. DOI ↗
उपनामTVP-VAR, time-varying VAR, TV-VAR, drifting-coefficient VARstate space, Kalman filter, unobserved components model, Durum Uzayı Modeli (State Space / Kalman Filter)
संबंधित64
सारांशThe Time-Varying Parameter VAR (TVP-VAR) model extends the standard vector autoregression by allowing the coefficients and error covariances to evolve gradually over time. Estimated via Bayesian methods and MCMC simulation, it captures how dynamic relationships between macroeconomic or financial variables shift across different economic regimes without requiring pre-specified break points.A state space model is a general time series framework that describes a series through unobserved (latent) state variables linked by a measurement equation and a transition equation, with the states estimated in real time by the Kalman filter. Developed in the state space tradition of Harvey (1990) and Durbin & Koopman (2012), it nests ARIMA and exponential smoothing as special cases.
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  3. PUBLISHED

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