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समय-भिन्न प्राचल OLS (TVP-OLS)×स्टेट स्पेस मॉडल (कलमन फिल्टर)×
क्षेत्रअर्थमितिअर्थमिति
परिवारRegression modelRegression model
उद्भव वर्ष19761990
प्रवर्तकCooley & Prescott (1976); further developed by Harvey (1990)Harvey; Durbin & Koopman (state space treatment); Kalman filter
प्रकारTime-series regression with evolving coefficientsState space time series model
मौलिक स्रोतCooley, T. F., & Prescott, E. C. (1976). Estimation in the Presence of Stochastic Parameter Variation. Econometrica, 44(1), 167–184. DOI ↗Harvey, A. C. (1990). Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter. Cambridge University Press. DOI ↗
उपनामTVP-OLS, time-varying coefficient regression, rolling OLS, locally weighted OLSstate space, Kalman filter, unobserved components model, Durum Uzayı Modeli (State Space / Kalman Filter)
संबंधित44
सारांशTime-Varying Parameter OLS extends classical ordinary least squares to allow regression coefficients to change over time. Instead of assuming fixed slopes throughout the sample, the model treats each coefficient as a stochastic process, tracking how economic relationships evolve — making it well-suited for analysing structural change in time-series data.A state space model is a general time series framework that describes a series through unobserved (latent) state variables linked by a measurement equation and a transition equation, with the states estimated in real time by the Kalman filter. Developed in the state space tradition of Harvey (1990) and Durbin & Koopman (2012), it nests ARIMA and exponential smoothing as special cases.
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