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टेम्पोरल फ्यूजन ट्रांसफार्मर×ऑटोरेग्रेसिव इंटीग्रेटेड मूविंग एवरेज (ARIMA) मॉडल×डीपएआर (DeepAR)×
क्षेत्रगहन अधिगमअर्थमितिगहन अधिगम
परिवारMachine learningRegression modelMachine learning
उद्भव वर्ष202120152020
प्रवर्तकLim, B., Arık, S. Ö., Loeff, N. & Pfister, T.Box & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)Salinas, D., Flunkert, V. & Gasthaus, J. (Amazon)
प्रकारAttention-based deep learning forecasting architectureUnivariate time-series modelAutoregressive recurrent neural network (probabilistic forecasting)
मौलिक स्रोतLim, B., Arık, S. Ö., Loeff, N. & Pfister, T. (2021). Temporal Fusion Transformers for Interpretable Multi-Horizon Time Series Forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting, 37(4), 1748–1764. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Salinas, D., Flunkert, V., Gasthaus, J. & Januschowski, T. (2020). DeepAR: Probabilistic Forecasting with Autoregressive Recurrent Networks. International Journal of Forecasting, 36(3), 1181–1191. DOI ↗
उपनामTemporal Fusion Transformer (TFT), TFT, interpretable multi-horizon forecasting transformerBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA ModeliDeepAR — Olasılıksal RNN Tahmini, probabilistic autoregressive RNN forecasting, Amazon DeepAR
संबंधित655
सारांशThe Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT), introduced by Lim, Arık, Loeff and Pfister in 2021, is an interpretable deep learning architecture for multi-horizon time series forecasting. It combines variable selection, gating, multi-horizon attention and quantile outputs, processing static, past and known-future inputs together to produce multi-step forecasts.ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).DeepAR is Amazon's industrial forecasting model, introduced by Salinas, Flunkert and Gasthaus (2017; published 2020), that uses an autoregressive recurrent neural network to estimate the parameters of a probability distribution at each step, producing a confidence interval rather than a single point forecast. It can model many related time series jointly within one model.
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