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स्टेट स्पेस मॉडल (कलमन फिल्टर)×मार्कोव रेजीम-स्विचिंग मॉडल (MS-AR / MS-VAR)×
क्षेत्रअर्थमितिअर्थमिति
परिवारRegression modelRegression model
उद्भव वर्ष19901989
प्रवर्तकHarvey; Durbin & Koopman (state space treatment); Kalman filterHamilton (1989); Kim & Nelson (1999)
प्रकारState space time series modelRegime-switching time series model
मौलिक स्रोतHarvey, A. C. (1990). Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter. Cambridge University Press. DOI ↗Hamilton, J. D. (1989). A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle. Econometrica, 57(2), 357-384. DOI ↗
उपनामstate space, Kalman filter, unobserved components model, Durum Uzayı Modeli (State Space / Kalman Filter)regime-switching model, Markov-switching autoregression, MS-AR, MS-VAR
संबंधित45
सारांशA state space model is a general time series framework that describes a series through unobserved (latent) state variables linked by a measurement equation and a transition equation, with the states estimated in real time by the Kalman filter. Developed in the state space tradition of Harvey (1990) and Durbin & Koopman (2012), it nests ARIMA and exponential smoothing as special cases.The Markov regime-switching model lets the parameters of a time series change probabilistically across hidden regimes governed by a Markov chain. Introduced by Hamilton (1989) and developed further by Kim and Nelson (1999), it automatically detects business-cycle phases such as expansions and contractions.
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  3. PUBLISHED

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