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Robust SARIMA Model×ऑटोरेग्रेसिव इंटीग्रेटेड मूविंग एवरेज (ARIMA) मॉडल×
क्षेत्रअर्थमितिअर्थमिति
परिवारRegression modelRegression model
उद्भव वर्ष1979–20091970
प्रवर्तकMuler, Peña & Yohai (robust ARMA); earlier foundation by Denby & Martin (1979)George Box and Gwilym Jenkins
प्रकारRobust time-series modelTime series forecasting model
मौलिक स्रोतMuler, N., Peña, D., & Yohai, V. J. (2009). Robust estimation for ARMA models. The Annals of Statistics, 37(2), 816–840. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗
उपनामrobust SARIMA, outlier-resistant SARIMA, robust seasonal ARIMA, M-estimator SARIMAARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q)
संबंधित46
सारांशRobust SARIMA extends the classical Seasonal ARIMA framework by replacing the standard least-squares criterion with a robust loss function — such as an M-estimator — so that outliers and heavy-tailed innovations in seasonal time series cannot distort parameter estimates or invalidate forecasts.The ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics.
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