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वास्तविक अस्थिरता और HAR मॉडल×ऑटोरेग्रेसिव इंटीग्रेटेड मूविंग एवरेज (ARIMA) मॉडल×
क्षेत्रवित्तअर्थमिति
परिवारRegression modelRegression model
उद्भव वर्ष20092015
प्रवर्तकCorsi (HAR model); Andersen, Bollerslev, Diebold & Labys (realized volatility)Box & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)
प्रकारTime-series regression of realized varianceUnivariate time-series model
मौलिक स्रोतCorsi, F. (2009). A Simple Approximate Long-Memory Model of Realized Volatility. Journal of Financial Econometrics, 7(2), 174-196. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021
उपनामrealized variance, HAR model, heterogeneous autoregressive model of realized volatility, HAR-RVBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeli
संबंधित55
सारांशRealized volatility estimates an asset's variance directly from high-frequency intraday returns rather than from a parametric latent process. The Heterogeneous Autoregressive (HAR) model of Corsi (2009), building on the realized-volatility framework of Andersen, Bollerslev, Diebold and Labys (2003), forecasts this measure by combining daily, weekly, and monthly volatility components, and is a strong alternative to GARCH for volatility prediction.ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).
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