विधियों की तुलना करें

	मूविंग एवरेज (MA) मॉडल	SARIMA मॉडल
क्षेत्र	अर्थमिति	अर्थमिति
परिवार	Regression model	Regression model
उद्भव वर्ष	1970	1970 (first edition); 1976 (revised)
प्रवर्तक	Box and Jenkins	Box, Jenkins, and Reinsel
प्रकार	Linear time series model	Seasonal time series model
मौलिक स्रोत	Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., & Reinsel, G. C. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0130607744	Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., & Reinsel, G. C. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0130607744
उपनाम	MA model, MA(q) process, moving-average process, Box-Jenkins MA	SARIMA, seasonal ARIMA, Box-Jenkins seasonal model, ARIMA with seasonal component
संबंधित	5	5
सारांश	The Moving Average model of order q — written MA(q) — expresses the current value of a time series as a linear combination of the current and past random shocks (innovations). Unlike the AR model which uses lagged values of the series itself, the MA model uses lagged error terms, making it well-suited for capturing short-lived disturbances that dissipate over q periods.	SARIMA extends ARIMA by adding seasonal autoregressive and moving-average operators to capture repeating patterns at fixed intervals — such as monthly, quarterly, or annual cycles. Denoted SARIMA(p,d,q)(P,D,Q)s, it is the standard workhorse for univariate seasonal time series forecasting in econometrics, economics, and official statistics.