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मार्कोव रेजीम-स्विचिंग मॉडल (MS-AR / MS-VAR)×वेक्टर ऑटोरिग्रेशन (VAR) मॉडल×
क्षेत्रअर्थमितिअर्थमिति
परिवारRegression modelRegression model
उद्भव वर्ष19892005
प्रवर्तकHamilton (1989); Kim & Nelson (1999)Lütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
प्रकारRegime-switching time series modelMultivariate time-series model
मौलिक स्रोतHamilton, J. D. (1989). A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle. Econometrica, 57(2), 357-384. DOI ↗Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
उपनामregime-switching model, Markov-switching autoregression, MS-AR, MS-VARvector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
संबंधित54
सारांशThe Markov regime-switching model lets the parameters of a time series change probabilistically across hidden regimes governed by a Markov chain. Introduced by Hamilton (1989) and developed further by Kim and Nelson (1999), it automatically detects business-cycle phases such as expansions and contractions.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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