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गार्छ मॉडल (अस्थिरता पूर्वानुमान)×क्वांटाइल रिग्रेशन×
क्षेत्रअर्थमितिअर्थमिति
परिवारRegression modelRegression model
उद्भव वर्ष19861978
प्रवर्तकTim BollerslevKoenker & Bassett
प्रकारConditional volatility modelConditional quantile regression
मौलिक स्रोतBollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗Koenker, R. & Bassett, G., Jr. (1978). Regression Quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50. DOI ↗
उपनामGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)conditional quantile regression, regression quantiles, Kantil Regresyon
संबंधित55
सारांशThe Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.Quantile regression models conditional quantiles of an outcome - the median, the 25th or 75th percentile, and so on - rather than the conditional mean that OLS targets. Introduced by Koenker and Bassett in 1978, it reveals how predictors act across the whole distribution, including its tails.
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