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कंडिशनल वैल्यू-एट-रिस्क (अपेक्षित कमी)×ऑटोरेग्रेसिव इंटीग्रेटेड मूविंग एवरेज (ARIMA) मॉडल×
क्षेत्रवित्तअर्थमिति
परिवारRegression modelRegression model
उद्भव वर्ष20002015
प्रवर्तकRockafellar & Uryasev (2000); Acerbi & Tasche (2002)Box & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)
प्रकारCoherent tail-risk measureUnivariate time-series model
मौलिक स्रोतRockafellar, R. T. & Uryasev, S. (2000). Optimization of Conditional Value-at-Risk. Journal of Risk, 2(3), 21-41. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021
उपनामCVaR, expected shortfall, average value-at-risk, tail VaRBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeli
संबंधित55
सारांशConditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), also called Expected Shortfall, is a coherent tail-risk measure that quantifies the conditional expectation of losses beyond the Value-at-Risk threshold. It was introduced for optimization by Rockafellar and Uryasev (2000) and shown to be coherent by Acerbi and Tasche (2002), and it has replaced VaR as the regulatory standard under Basel III/IV.ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).
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