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क्रोनोस: समय-श्रृंखला पूर्वानुमान के लिए एक टोकनाइज्ड फाउंडेशन मॉडल×मिश्रण विशेषज्ञ (Mixture of Experts)×TimesFM: समय-श्रृंखला पूर्वानुमान के लिए एक डिकोडर-ओनली फाउंडेशन मॉडल×
क्षेत्रगहन अधिगमगहन अधिगमगहन अधिगम
परिवारMachine learningMachine learningMachine learning
उद्भव वर्ष202420172024
प्रवर्तकAbdul Fatir Ansari et al. (Amazon)Shazeer, N. et al.Abhimanyu Das et al. (Google)
प्रकारPre-trained language-model-based time-series forecasterSparse neural network architecture (conditional computation)Pre-trained decoder-only transformer for zero-shot time-series forecasting
मौलिक स्रोतAnsari, A. F., Stella, L., Turkmen, C., Zhang, X., Mercado, P., Shen, H., et al. (2024). Chronos: Learning the language of time series. Transactions on Machine Learning Research. link ↗Shazeer, N. et al. (2017). Outrageously Large Neural Networks: The Sparsely-Gated Mixture-of-Experts Layer. ICLR. arXiv:1701.06538 link ↗Das, A., Kong, W., Sen, R., & Zhou, Y. (2024). A decoder-only foundation model for time-series forecasting. ICML. link ↗
उपनामChronos Forecasting Model, Amazon Chronos, Tokenized Time-Series LLM, Kronos Zaman Serisi ModeliUzman Karışımı (Mixture of Experts — MoE), uzman karışımı, MoE, sparse mixture of expertsTime-series Foundation Model, Google TimesFM, TimesFM forecaster, Zaman Serisi Temel Modeli
संबंधित233
सारांशChronos is a family of pre-trained probabilistic forecasting models introduced by Ansari et al. at Amazon in 2024. It adapts the language-model paradigm to time series by quantizing continuous values into discrete tokens, enabling a standard transformer to be trained on a large heterogeneous corpus of time-series data. The result is a zero-shot forecasting model that generalizes across domains without requiring dataset-specific retraining.Mixture of Experts (MoE) is a sparse neural-network architecture, introduced by Shazeer and colleagues in 2017 with the sparsely-gated MoE layer, in which only a subset of expert sub-networks is activated for each input. As seen in models such as Switch Transformer and Mixtral, it holds computation cost fixed even as the total parameter count grows.TimesFM is a pre-trained foundation model for univariate time-series forecasting introduced by Abhimanyu Das, Weihao Kong, Rajat Sen, and Yichen Zhou from Google in 2024. The model adopts a decoder-only transformer architecture, similar in spirit to large language models, and is trained on a large corpus of real-world and synthetic time-series data. Its central innovation is the ability to perform accurate zero-shot forecasting across diverse domains without task-specific fine-tuning.
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