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बाई-पेरॉन मल्टीपल स्ट्रक्चरल ब्रेक टेस्ट×SARIMA मॉडल×
क्षेत्रअर्थमितिअर्थमिति
परिवारHypothesis testRegression model
उद्भव वर्ष19981970 (first edition); 1976 (revised)
प्रवर्तकJushan Bai & Pierre PerronBox, Jenkins, and Reinsel
प्रकारSequential hypothesis test for multiple structural breaksSeasonal time series model
मौलिक स्रोतBai, J., & Perron, P. (1998). Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes. Econometrica, 66(1), 47–78. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., & Reinsel, G. C. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0130607744
उपनामBai-Perron Multiple Break Test, Multiple Structural Change Test, Sequential Structural Break Test, Çoklu Yapısal Kırılma TestiSARIMA, seasonal ARIMA, Box-Jenkins seasonal model, ARIMA with seasonal component
संबंधित25
सारांशThe Bai-Perron test, introduced by Jushan Bai and Pierre Perron in their landmark 1998 Econometrica paper, is a least-squares-based procedure for detecting, estimating, and testing the number of structural breaks in a linear regression model estimated on time-series data. Unlike single-break tests, it simultaneously identifies multiple change-points in a sample, providing economists and empirical researchers with a rigorous, data-driven way to locate parameter instability across time.SARIMA extends ARIMA by adding seasonal autoregressive and moving-average operators to capture repeating patterns at fixed intervals — such as monthly, quarterly, or annual cycles. Denoted SARIMA(p,d,q)(P,D,Q)s, it is the standard workhorse for univariate seasonal time series forecasting in econometrics, economics, and official statistics.
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