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ARMA मॉडल (ऑटोरिग्रेसिव मूविंग एवरेज)×मूविंग एवरेज (MA) मॉडल×
क्षेत्रअर्थमितिअर्थमिति
परिवारRegression modelRegression model
उद्भव वर्ष19701970
प्रवर्तकGeorge E. P. Box and Gwilym M. JenkinsBox and Jenkins
प्रकारTime series modelLinear time series model
मौलिक स्रोतBox, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., & Reinsel, G. C. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0130607744
उपनामARMA, Box-Jenkins model, autoregressive moving average, AR(p)MA(q)MA model, MA(q) process, moving-average process, Box-Jenkins MA
संबंधित55
सारांशThe ARMA(p,q) model describes a stationary time series as a combination of two components: an autoregressive part that regresses the current value on its own past p values, and a moving average part that accounts for past q error terms. It is the foundational framework of the Box-Jenkins methodology for univariate time series modelling and short-run forecasting.The Moving Average model of order q — written MA(q) — expresses the current value of a time series as a linear combination of the current and past random shocks (innovations). Unlike the AR model which uses lagged values of the series itself, the MA model uses lagged error terms, making it well-suited for capturing short-lived disturbances that dissipate over q periods.
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  3. PUBLISHED

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