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ऑटोरेग्रेसिव इंटीग्रेटेड मूविंग एवरेज (ARIMA) मॉडल×वेक्टर ऑटोरिग्रेशन (VAR)×
क्षेत्रअर्थमितिअर्थमिति
परिवारRegression modelRegression model
उद्भव वर्ष19701980
प्रवर्तकGeorge Box and Gwilym JenkinsChristopher A. Sims
प्रकारTime series forecasting modelMultivariate time-series model
मौलिक स्रोतBox, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. DOI ↗
उपनामARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q)VAR, VAR model, vector autoregressive model, multivariate autoregression
संबंधित65
सारांशThe ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model in which each variable is regressed on its own lags and the lags of all other variables in the system. Originally proposed by Sims (1980) as a data-driven alternative to large structural macroeconomic models, VAR has become the standard workhorse for dynamic analysis in empirical economics and finance.
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