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ऑटोरेग्रेसिव इंटीग्रेटेड मूविंग एवरेज (ARIMA) मॉडल×वेक्टर ऑटोरिग्रेशन (VAR) मॉडल×
क्षेत्रअर्थमितिअर्थमिति
परिवारRegression modelRegression model
उद्भव वर्ष19702005
प्रवर्तकGeorge Box and Gwilym JenkinsLütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
प्रकारTime series forecasting modelMultivariate time-series model
मौलिक स्रोतBox, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
उपनामARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q)vector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
संबंधित64
सारांशThe ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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