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ऑटोरेग्रेसिव इंटीग्रेटेड मूविंग एवरेज (ARIMA) मॉडल×ऑटोरेग्रेसिव मॉडल (AR)×
क्षेत्रअर्थमितिअर्थमिति
परिवारRegression modelRegression model
उद्भव वर्ष19701970s (popularised 1976)
प्रवर्तकGeorge Box and Gwilym JenkinsGeorge E. P. Box and Gwilym M. Jenkins
प्रकारTime series forecasting modelTime series model
मौलिक स्रोतBox, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0816211043
उपनामARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q)AR model, AR(p) model, autoregression, AR process
संबंधित66
सारांशThe ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics.An autoregressive model of order p — AR(p) — expresses the current value of a time series as a linear function of its own p most recent past values plus a white-noise error. It is the building block of the Box-Jenkins family of time-series models and is widely used for forecasting stationary economic and financial series.
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