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ऑटोरेग्रेसिव इंटीग्रेटेड मूविंग एवरेज (ARIMA) मॉडल×जोहान्सन सह-एकीकरण परीक्षण और सदिश त्रुटि सुधार मॉडल×
क्षेत्रअर्थमितिवित्त
परिवारRegression modelRegression model
उद्भव वर्ष20151991
प्रवर्तकBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)Søren Johansen
प्रकारUnivariate time-series modelMultivariate cointegration / vector error correction model
मौलिक स्रोतBox, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Johansen, S. (1991). Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models. Econometrica, 59(6), 1551-1580. DOI ↗
उपनामBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA ModeliJohansen test, VECM, vector error correction model, multivariate cointegration
संबंधित53
सारांशARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).The Johansen procedure is a multivariate cointegration framework, introduced by Søren Johansen in 1991, that tests for long-run equilibrium relationships among several I(1) time series. It determines how many cointegrating vectors link the series and then builds a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to describe the short-run dynamics around that equilibrium.
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