विधियों की तुलना करें

	ARCH मॉडल (ऑटोरिग्रेसिव कंडीशनल हेटेरोस्केडैस्टिसिटी)	ARMA मॉडल (ऑटोरिग्रेसिव मूविंग एवरेज)
क्षेत्र	अर्थमिति	अर्थमिति
परिवार	Regression model	Regression model
उद्भव वर्ष	1982	1970
प्रवर्तक	Robert F. Engle	George E. P. Box and Gwilym M. Jenkins
प्रकार	Conditional volatility model	Time series model
मौलिक स्रोत	Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007.	Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day.
उपनाम	ARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance model	ARMA, Box-Jenkins model, autoregressive moving average, AR(p)MA(q)
संबंधित	6	5
सारांश	The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.	The ARMA(p,q) model describes a stationary time series as a combination of two components: an autoregressive part that regresses the current value on its own past p values, and a moving average part that accounts for past q error terms. It is the foundational framework of the Box-Jenkins methodology for univariate time series modelling and short-run forecasting.