השוואת שיטות

	מודל רגרסיה אוטורגרסיבי מולג עם השהיות מפוזרות לא ליניארי (NARDL)	מבחן הגבולות של ARDL (מבחן הגבולות של Pesaran)	רגרסיית ריבועים פחותים רגילים (OLS)
תחום	אקונומטריקה	אקונומטריקה	אקונומטריקה
משפחה	Regression model	Regression model	Regression model
שנת המקור	2014	2001	2019
הוגה השיטה	Shin, Yu, and Greenwood-Nimmo	Pesaran, Shin & Smith	Wooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squares
סוג	Nonlinear cointegration model	Cointegration test / Autoregressive distributed lag model	Linear regression
מקור מכונן	Shin, Y., Yu, B., & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014). Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a nonlinear ARDL framework. In R. C. Sickles & W. C. Horrace (Eds.), Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt: Econometric Methods and Applications (pp. 281-314). Springer.	Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326.	Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860
כינויים	NARDL, nonlinear ARDL, asymmetric ARDL, nonlinear bounds test	Pesaran bounds test, bounds testing approach, ARDL cointegration test, ARDL Sınır Testi (Pesaran Bounds Test)	ordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonu
קשורות	4	4	5
תקציר	The Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model extends the linear ARDL bounds-testing framework to allow asymmetric long-run and short-run relationships. By decomposing an explanatory variable into its positive and negative partial sums, it tests whether increases and decreases in a regressor have different effects on the dependent variable — a feature that linear cointegration methods cannot capture.	The ARDL bounds test is an autoregressive distributed lag method that tests for a cointegrating (long-run level) relationship between time series, introduced by Pesaran, Shin and Smith in 2001. Unlike the Johansen procedure, it remains valid whether the variables are I(0), I(1) or a mix of the two, and it is more reliable than Johansen in small samples of roughly 30 to 80 observations.	Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE).