השוואת שיטות
סקרו את השיטות שבחרתם זו לצד זו; שורות שבהן יש הבדל מודגשות.
| מודל ARCH לא ליניארי (NARCH)× | מודל EGARCH (Exponential GARCH)× | |
|---|---|---|
| תחום | אקונומטריקה | אקונומטריקה |
| משפחה | Regression model | Regression model |
| שנת המקור≠ | 1992 | 1991 |
| הוגה השיטה≠ | Higgins & Bera | Daniel B. Nelson |
| סוג≠ | Volatility model | Volatility / conditional variance model |
| מקור מכונן≠ | Higgins, M. L., & Bera, A. K. (1992). A class of nonlinear ARCH models. International Economic Review, 33(1), 137-158. DOI ↗ | Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗ |
| כינויים | NARCH, Nonlinear ARCH, nonlinear conditional heteroscedasticity model, NARCH model | Exponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCH |
| קשורות≠ | 4 | 6 |
| תקציר≠ | The Nonlinear ARCH (NARCH) model, introduced by Higgins and Bera (1992), extends Engle's original ARCH framework by allowing the power transformation of volatility to be estimated from the data rather than fixed at two. This flexibility captures a broader class of volatility dynamics observed in financial and macroeconomic time series. | The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets. |
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