השוואת שיטות
סקרו את השיטות שבחרתם זו לצד זו; שורות שבהן יש הבדל מודגשות.
| מודל מיתוג-משטרים של מרקוב (MS-AR / MS-VAR)× | מודל אוטורגרסיה וקטורית (VAR)× | |
|---|---|---|
| תחום | אקונומטריקה | אקונומטריקה |
| משפחה | Regression model | Regression model |
| שנת המקור≠ | 1989 | 2005 |
| הוגה השיטה≠ | Hamilton (1989); Kim & Nelson (1999) | Lütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition |
| סוג≠ | Regime-switching time series model | Multivariate time-series model |
| מקור מכונן≠ | Hamilton, J. D. (1989). A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle. Econometrica, 57(2), 357-384. DOI ↗ | Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗ |
| כינויים≠ | regime-switching model, Markov-switching autoregression, MS-AR, MS-VAR | vector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon |
| קשורות≠ | 5 | 4 |
| תקציר≠ | The Markov regime-switching model lets the parameters of a time series change probabilistically across hidden regimes governed by a Markov chain. Introduced by Hamilton (1989) and developed further by Kim and Nelson (1999), it automatically detects business-cycle phases such as expansions and contractions. | Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005). |
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