Comparer des méthodes

	Causalité de Granger à paramètres variant dans le temps	Test de causalité de Granger
Domaine	Économétrie	Économétrie
Famille	Regression model	Regression model
Année d'origine	1969 (Granger); TVP extension ~2005	1969
Auteur d'origine	C.W.J. Granger (causality concept); TVP extension developed by Primiceri (2005) and subsequent literature	Clive W. J. Granger
Type	Causality test / time-varying model	Time-series predictive causality test
Source fondatrice	Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424-438.	Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424-438.
Alias	TVP Granger causality, rolling-window Granger causality, time-varying Granger test, dynamic Granger causality	Granger causality test, Granger non-causality test, predictive causality test, Granger Nedensellik Testi
Apparentées	4	5
Résumé	Time-varying parameter Granger causality extends the classical Granger causality framework by allowing the predictive relationships between time series to evolve across time. Instead of assuming fixed causal effects, the model estimates causal coefficients that can shift, capturing structural breaks, regime changes, or gradual evolution in economic or financial relationships.	The Granger causality test, introduced by Clive W. J. Granger in 1969, assesses whether the past values of one time series help predict another beyond what the latter's own past already explains. It defines causality in a strictly predictive sense rather than as a structural or physical cause.